Tuesday, February 12, 2008

Potomic Tide is High

There are really two outcomes from today's Dem primaries. A) Obama wins them all, and continues to have massive momentum moving fo---whoa, too much alliteration there for even me.

Ahem. A) Obama wins them all, and continues his momentum, or B) Clinton pulls an upset or a near-upset and we go back to a very close race.

But this could be the night when it really starts to look like we've reached a tipping point. After this one, we have Wisconsin, where Obama has an 11 point lead. By that time, Clinton will have lost 8 in a row. The "Hillary is more electable in the fall" argument will seem pretty ridiculous by then. In order to look electable, you have to actually win some elections. The claim that only she can go toe to toe with McCain seems a lot less plausible when she evidently can't go toe to toe with Obama.

I'm not here to bash Clinton. She would be a very strong candidate in the fall. But I think her moment is slipping away.

On the Republican side, McCain should win. If Huckabee pulls an upset or comes close, it will look very bad for McCain. I mean, the man was just endorsed by Fred Thompson! Where's the excitement, people? Where's the love???


D: Obama wins Virginia, Maryland, DC.
R: McCain wins 'em.

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