Monday, November 22, 2010

AaaaOOOOOOOOGA! The horn blows for Childress.

It’s been easy to place blame on Brad Childress for the astonishing collapse of the Minnesota Vikings this season. Blame could also be shared by Brett Favre, an inconsistent-at best receiving corpse (hey, let’s just leave that typo in there, it fits), rapidly aging lines on both sides of the ball, and a secondary that has some very questionable pieces.

But the real culprit for the Vikings mess is owner Zygi Wilf. And he’d better figure out quickly that he needs to change the basic organizational structure of the team, or it’s likely to be in exactly the same place in a year or two. Or sooner.

Wilf did not have a lot of football know-how when he bought the team. And it has showed. With no strong general manager, Wilf pushed most of the power and decision-making to the head coach, and that has been a disaster.

Childress may actually be a pretty good coach on some levels. After all, he had two pretty good seasons with the Vikings and was one-increadibly-boneheaded-I-can’t-believe-Favre-did-that-again-does-he-have-a-death-wish interception away from taking them to the Superbowl.

But then the wheels came off this season. And why? One word: personnel. Childress went for the short-term glory of bringing in big stars like Allen, Favre, and infamously, Moss, rather than cultivating a deep bench of players who could step in if the starters faltered. And falter they have. This team peaked big time last year and clearly Childress had nowhere to go when players like Williams and Rice either got hurt or lost a step.

And just as a side note: what message does it send to the rest of your team when you go for a star player and tacitly tell the world he doesn’t have to play by the same rules as everyone else? Doesn’t have to come to training camp? Gets special treatment. Yeah, Farve’s a legend. But the psychology of this team was dysfunctional from the day Childress played chauffeur to Favre at the beginning of last season. It was festering all along, and the dam burst this year with Moss.

A strong general manager who could avoid the impulsive, go-for-broke decision-making that doomed Childress’ tenure is needed badly by the Vikings. I don’t know if Wilf will be able to figure out how to right this ship. But firing Childress is just the first, and easiest, step.

Monday, November 01, 2010

Waiting for the Great Leap Backwards

In thinking about tomorrow’s election, I was reminded of something someone said after George Bush’s popularity began to plummet early in his second term. “No matter who’s elected, they’re going to have such a mess to clean up they may not want the job,” the statement went.
That seems especially appropriate now. We had two elections that brought Dems to power, and people expected improvements, but the problems that had been building up over eight years—or longer—have turned out to be very tough to fix.
So here we are, poised to punish the Democrats for not fixing the mess Republicans made quickly enough, and putting Republicans back in power to mess things up a little more—or, more likely, to ensure more gridlock on the really tough problems.
Good job, American Democracy.
Hey, it’s not the end of the world. We’ve survived worse than handing power to a bunch of crazy tea-partiers who don’t know what the heck they’re talking about.
I think.

Minnesota, the nice tea party state

I was talking to Al Franken the other day—OK, it was a few months ago and it was the one and only time I have spoken to the man—and he said something like, “you know, we have tea party types here, but they’re nice tea party types.”
And it does seem that the extremes of tea partiers are a little less extreme here. I mean, we do have the tea party queen in Michele Bachmann, but other than her the crazy gets dialed down quite a bit in Minnesota.
Bachmann is cruising against Taryl Clark in the 6th district. Clark may make the race a bit tighter than former opponents, but I agree with those who say that in the year of the Republican Wave, Bachmann is not going down. Bad timing for Clark.
Tim Walz seems pretty secure down in the 1st district, probably because he’s so likable and down to earth that the R’s can’t make much traction in arguing he’s part of the problem. The problem is supposed to be out-of-touch Washington insiders who don’t listen to their constituents, and Walz just doesn’t allow himself to get tagged with that. He is dogged in his attempts to stay tuned in with his voters, even if he doesn’t always take the most popular stance.
It is a sign of the times that even Jim Oberstar up in the 8th district is seeing a challenge, but that seems to be the case with his race against Chip Cravaack. Some internal polls released by the Cravaack camp suggest he was within a point or two of Oberstar. But like Derek Wallbank, I really doubt the underdog can pull this off. I was just up on the North Shore and there can be no doubt that Oberstar brings home the bacon to his district. I have never seen nicer roads than the county highways north of Duluth. I mean, they were amazing. I felt like I was in a car commercial. Of course, some might say that proves that Oberstar is a pork-addled Washington insider, but somehow I doubt he’s going to lose tomorrow. If I’m wrong, it is REALLY going to be a long night for Dems.
Those are the closest congressional races. And except maybe for Walz, I would expect that they end up not being that close.
The governor’s race looks like it will be tight to the end. I have to give credit to Mark Dayton. Despite being far from the smoothest public speaker, despite his rather risky stance on raising taxes on high earners, despite his less-than-stellar track record in office, he has managed to run an efficient and effective campaign. He hasn’t made a major mistake, as Hatch did four years ago.
Tom Emmer also deserves credit. Early in the race, it looked like he would implode and lose his support to the more moderate Independence Party candidate, Tom Horner. But Emmer shored up his base, stopped shooting himself in the foot, and turned on his considerable charm and enthusiasm to make a close race of it. As others have pointed out, when it comes to Minnesota, if the R’s and D’s both turn out the base, the D’s just have the numbers, so they win. That will probably happen tomorrow.
Horner has to be disappointed that he didn’t make more headway with voters. I think a lot of political observers thought that policy-wise, he was the most articulate and made the most sense. You could say he “won” a lot of the 472 debates (a mild exaggeration of the numbers there)
From my viewpoint as someone observing the health care industry, it surprised me that Horner pulled in the endorsement of both the Minnesota Medical Association (MMA) and the Minnesota Hospital Association. When that happened, I thought he might actually have a chance to pull in a lot of more moderate voters. But he’s never come close to cracking 20 percent and making this a real 3-way race.
What that tells us, I think, is that even in Minnesota, where Jesse Ventura once shocked the world, people are comfortable with our two-party system. For all the talk about tea parties and independent voters, we’re still a red and blue electorate.

Wisconsin Swings Back

A state that had been trending blue is going to reverse itself tomorrow, if the polls are correct. Russ Feingold, a great independent/progressive voice and one of the most principled people in the Senate, will lose to ultra-pro-business newcomer Ron Johnson. Anti-government crusader Scott Walker will trounce Milwaukee mayor Tom Barrett.
Progressives will mourn the loss of Feingold, but Scott Walker’s win is a real nightmare for the people of Wisconsin. He is a true believer in downsizing government to the point where it basically ceases to function, as he has proven in his role as county executive for Milwaukee County. Expect Wisconsin’s next governor to be extremely partisan in fighting against health care reform, nixing mass transit projects, slashing education, etc. As George Bush so ably did, Walker believes government can do no good and is dead set on proving it.
Johnson on the other hand will have little power and less know-how, at least to start. He won’t help with much but other than being an R vote, probably can’t do too much harm.